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Agriculture  

 


Emerging Crisis in Punjab Agriculture

 

VI. Future Strategy and Policy Suggestions

Punjab farmers have made high level of investments in agriculture due to which any activity having low level of outturn, despite high rate of profitability over variable costs, would not find favour with the farmers. Therefore, only those enterprises can compete with the existing ones whose value productivity is high. Second peculiarity of Punjab agriculture is that due to strong infrastructural network and high exposure to mass media, high competitive spirit and innovativeness of the state’s farmers any potentially profitable enterprise gets quickly adopted by large number of farmers which results in glut in the market leading to violent price crash when the commodity is not of importance for mass consumption.

Keeping these two characteristics in mind, the state should follow three types of diversification; one, through items of mass production and consumption; two, concentration on area specific enterprises of moderately high value; and three, limited diversification through non-conventional high value items of elite consumption.

The enterprises in the first category, whose production should be encouraged at small scale but throughout the state, include milk (dairying), pulses, oilseeds. Since these are the items of importance to masses and there is wide and growing gap between their availability and requirement, even large increase in their production can be absorbed. Objectives of diversification through these enterprises are to increase crop diversity, make production broad-based, ameliorate environment, ease the strain on natural resources, and reduce ecological degradation.

The second category should include moderately high value commodities like vegetables, potato, onion, cotton, basmati rice and sugarcane. These enterprises should be carefully earmarked for different agro-climatic sub-zones based on the comparative advantage, and different activities should be encouraged in different areas to avoid production gluts and price crash. Main objective of diversification through this type of activities is to enhance farmers’ income and to provide growth impetus to the economy.

The third type of diversification strategy should focus on items like floriculture,9 exotic vegetables, mushroom and alike crops. Most of these commodities involve high use of capital and high risk and their marketing generally requires locating suitable buyers and some sort of contract with the buyers. Secondly, demand for these commodities is very narrow and they being highly perishable and sensitive require special arrangements for transportation, packaging and storage. No doubt domestic as well as international demand for such commodities is becoming buoyant but the entire demand can be met by production by small number of farmers. Therefore, these enterprises should be encouraged at the fields of select farmers, who possess the risk bearing ability and entrepreneurial ability to explore and locate the markets/buyers, and who can carefully schedule supplies to match the demand.

For a fairly long time, farmers in the state have been used to produce for assured market, facing little market risk. The producers have to be prepared and trained to produce for market based products. This also imposes heavy responsibility on the state to develop an efficient system of marketing and to develop commodity specific marketing infrastructure.

Despite lot of interest and discussion on diversification, no serious efforts have been made to identify and encourage area specific activities. General type recommendations are being made for whole of the state. There is a need to identify area specific enterprises taking into account the groundwater status, soil health and other micro characteristics of different regions. This way, specialisation pockets should be developed rather than emphasising many things for each area. The advantages of developing specialisation pockets are: (i) these are useful in harnessing advantages of scale economy and (ii) it is easy and less costly to develop infrastructure to boost one or a few rather than many commodities.

The two aspects which need immediate attention and which are vital for long-term growth are (i) public investment in agriculture and (ii) R and D in agriculture. Two decades ago, Punjab invested about Rs 319 crore annually or Rs 768 per hectare (at 1980/81 prices) for agricultural infrastructure which is one of the contributing factor for high growth of agricultural output during the 1980s.10 As can be seen from Table 9, public investment in the state plummeted to Rs 365 per hectare during the late 1980s. Expenditure on public investment in real terms has declined at the rate of 2.65 per cent per annum during the past two decades which is highest among all the major states. As a consequence of sharp decline in public investment in the state, the infrastructure like rural roads and markets are in bad state. It may sound incredible that lot of paddy crop in the state markets this year has been spoiled by rains, causing huge losses to the farmers because proper market yards for keeping the produce were not available in most of the markets. In order to create favourable condition for long-term growth, the state should step up public investment for improvement in agricultural infrastructure.

The second aspect relates to technology. Though it is acknowledged that the potential of existing technology has been almost exhausted, the state agricultural university, which has a glorious history of ushering in green revolution in the state, has not been able to develop new technology to break the ceiling of old technology. It is a great challenge to the agricultural scientists of PAU to harness the potential of much talked bio-technological techniques and evolve new crop strains and varieties to meet the twin challenges of growth and sustainability.

The R and D in the state has focused mainly on wheat and paddy. Efforts should now shift to new and emerging crops and enterprises of future importance. Establishment of agro-based industries of small and medium size in rural areas away from urban places can be of great help in creating employment for rural youths and to encourage diversification.

Due to high level of crop intensity and high proportion of net sown area in geographic area, changes in crop pattern can ease the strain on water resources to a limited extent. Simultaneous efforts are needed to accumulate the small savings in water wherever possible. The possible measures through which demand for water can be reduced are (i) proper pricing of water resources to put a check on indiscriminate and excessive use of irrigation water, (ii) creating awareness among the farmers about the long-run repercussions of depletion of water-table, (iii) research on crops/varieties and water management techniques which can result in water saving, (iv) check on paddy transplanting during the month of May and early June, (v) adjustments in cropping pattern, (vi) incentive for use of irrigation devices like drip and sprinkler, etc, (vii) augmenting supply sources, (viii) discourage cultivation of crops like sunflower which are grown during peak summer, and (ix) confining sugarcane production only to those areas where symptoms of negative water balance are not there.

Dairying is the best choice for agricultural diversification in the state, on ecological as well as economic grounds. It has vast potential for growth in employment and income and for restoring soil health. Efficient and modern system of marketing and processing is required to give boost to dairy industry in the state.

Source: Economic and Political Weekly

Notes & References